When examining the organizations revolving around international peace, cooperation and diplomacy, there are none more prevalent than that of the United Nations. Established at the closing of World War II, the United Nations is composed of 193 countries and independent states, the vast majority of countries on earth, and operates globally to further these causes. However, when one looks to the past of organizations with similar goals, and even through the record of the United Nations itself, it begins to raise the question, is the effectiveness of the United Nations beginning to wane, and if so will this trend continue in the future. In looking through said historical cases, it seems the answer is yes.
To begin, the United Nation's future is difficult to predict due to the fast paced changes in the global scape, however when predicting the events of the future it is often pertinent to look at similar occurrences in the past. In this case, the history of the natural precursor to the United Nations, the League of Nations, may offer some answers to whether the United Nations will remain effective in the future.
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The League of Nations Council (Above) at a security meeting. The size of the council, and amount of leaders present serves to prove that the downfall of the League of Nations was not based on a lack of power, but rather a lack of solidarity when an issue that could have considerable ramifications arose. |
The League of Nations operated for years as the United Nations now does, and did much good when handling relatively small global issues, as the United Nations does now. However, when world war two broke out, the League of Nations was reduced to a shell of it’s former self. The cause of this lies in the immediate concern from individual countries at the prospect of large scale conflicts influencing the actions of the League of Nations, rather than continuing to fulfill it’s intended purpose as an international council protecting global peace. This raises the question, will the United Nations remain effective if a large scale war were to break out, or would it be plagued by the fragmentation that afflicted the League of Nations before it in a time of global crisis, resulting in a loss of usefulness.
Again, that is not to say the League of Nations had no success over its years of operation, nor that it did not possess enough power to affect the global landscape. For example, in 1925, the League of Nations orchestrated the withdrawal of Grecian soldiers who invaded Bulgaria over a border dispute. Another example of the League’s initial effectiveness is the legislation that was put in place against slavery in Liberia in the 1930’s. This legislation was a direct result of investigations mandated and carried out by the League of Nations against the American company Firestone, who had been taking advantage of labourers in Liberian factories that produced American goods. These are a few illustrations of the initial capability of the League of Nations, capability that could only occur when the League’s member states banded together, unifying their power through the common pursuit of peace. This partnership however, as time would tell, was one that could only persist in the absence of significant personal threat to the members based on the actions of the council as a whole.
When looking at the loss of strength and solidarity of the League of Nations, the events immediately prior to this are of importance. Immediately before this loss of power, the council failed to solve controversial international disputes. For example, the Italian invasion of Ethiopia in 1935. As the Italian army marched into Ethiopia, at the time called Abyssinia, the League of Nations was counted on to solve the conflict. In an attempt to do so, the League of Nations imposed sanctions on Italy, however these sanctions proved to be ineffective overall, due to the fact that they did not ban the sale of oil to Italy. The lack of harsh punishment for this discretion was due to the fact that the leaders of the League of Nations took into consideration the effects this would have on their own countries. They feared that imposing severe sanctions against Italy would drive the Italian leader, Benito Mussolini, into an alliance with Adolf Hitler, an event that later occurred regardless. The fact that the leaders took into account their own national security before the core purpose of the League, to protect and cultivate world peace, contributed to the ensuing loss of power; the leadership, acting with self-interests in mind rather than the collective interest, became increasingly fragmented, further damaging the effectiveness of the League as a whole.
While it is true that this occurred partially due to the actions of a world power like Italy against a small country like Abyssinia, similar events have occurred recently, and just like the League of Nations then, the United Nations has failed to have any real impact on the situations. For example, the Russian invasion of Ukraine and occupation of Crimea, an act that is clearly in violation of the core principles of the United Nations, has generated little to no physical punishment from any of the United Nations security council members. Due to the fact that when this occurred with the League of Nations it was a precursor to loss of significant effectiveness, it may be suggested that the usefulness of the United Nations as a global intermediary and power are drawing to a close.
This inaction can be partially contributed to the misuse of the United Nations Security Council’s veto system, another factor that contributes to the increasing ineffectiveness of the organization. The United Nations Security Council, the branch of the organization that deals with international peace and security, is limited by the fact that all five of the superpowers on the UNSC (China, the United States, Russia, England and France) have the capability to veto any deployment of troops by the United Nations. This makes sense generally, as countries should have a say in what efforts their soldiers are involved in, however when countries have a conflict of interest in the decision at hand, their veto can be used to impede the justice that the United Nations was built upon. This occurred when Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014. Any efforts by the United Nations to intervene could be barred by the veto of, in this case, the antagonist of the situation. In recent years the use of this veto system by the members of the security council for illegitimate reasons, namely Russia in situations such as the UNSC’s meetings on the Invasion of Ukraine and Syria, has called into question the usefulness of this system. As it currently stands, the veto system is simply creating stagnation for the personal gain of it’s users, rather than fulfilling its intended purpose.
On another note, when looking into past peacekeeping operations, one can see the lack of real effects the United Nations have had. The Rwandan Genocide in 1994 is a pertinent example of this. When the Hutu forces began to carry out what was decidedly a genocide of the Tutsi people, the United Nations, who had forces present in the country when this occurred, shirked their responsibility to respond to the crisis based on a technicality. They stated that the mass killings of a group were not classified as genocide with the sole reason being that they did not deem the issue important enough to expend resources on. When a group like the UN fails to intervene against the systematic murder of millions of individuals, it calls into question the reliability or even capability of said organization.
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The Image above is of a United Nations Peacekeeper observing the destruction of a village in Rwanda. The fact that the soldier is armed with advanced weaponry highlights the fact that whilst the United Nations had the means to intervene in a meaningful way in Rwanda, they did not.
[Image: RTE News: http://www.rte.ie/news/2014/0204/502128-rwanda/ ] |
Now whilst the United Nations has completed many successful missions, peacekeeping, humanitarian and otherwise, many important missions have not been successful. In looking to the precursor of the United Nations, the League of Nations, it is demonstrated that when nations have personal agendas within the organization it becomes difficult to run effectively, and when paired with a large scale conflict between world powers, can completely unravel the group. In today’s world, these situations have escalated to far greater heights than in the days of the League of Nations. This is clear due to the growing number of countries with destructive powers, partially due to the increased availability of biological and nuclear weapons, and the conflicts between countries with veto powers in the United Nations Security Council. Overall, when looking into the future of the United Nations, it is difficult to imagine how it could continue to exist in it’s current form.
Works Cited
Wikipedia. (n.d.). Incident at Petrich. Retrieved January 23, 2016, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Incident_at_Petrich